Supplementary Figure

Figure S1. Markov model demonstrating HBV disease progression through various disease stages.[1]
Figure S1. Markov model demonstrating HBV disease progression through various disease stages.[1]

 CHB = chronic hepatitis B; HBV = Hepatitis B virus; HCC = Hepatocellular carcinoma.

Figure S2. Markov model demonstrating HCV disease progression through various disease stages.
Figure S2. Markov model demonstrating HCV disease progression through various disease stages.

CHC = chronic hepatitis C; HCV = Hepatitis C virus; HCC = Hepatocellular carcinoma.

Figure S3. Markov model demonstrating syphilis disease progression through various disease stages.
Figure S3. Markov model demonstrating syphilis disease progression through various disease stages.

Red lines showed the disease progression with treatment.

Green lines showed neurological symptoms and development of neurosyphilis.

Figure S4. Markov model demonstrating HIV disease progression through various disease stages
Figure S4. Markov model demonstrating HIV disease progression through various disease stages

Patients entering the model were distributed into one of the four CD4+ based health states depending on their baseline CD4+ level. Based on their response to diagnosis/treatment, they were stratified in one of the four response states, including undiagnosed, treatment success, off therapy (failed virological suppression/ treat discontinuation), and death.

ART = antiretroviral therapy; HIV = human immunodeficiency virus.

Supplementary Table

Table S1. The rate of Hepatitis B virus infection status in the Chinese population, stratified by age group (1/100,000)[1]

Age, years

Chronic hepatitis B Carrier

Chronic infection

Compensated cirrhosis

Deompensated cirrhosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma

1

210.00

200.00

20.00

29.00

8.13

2

380.00

230.00

60.00

32.00

9.07

3

450.00

250.00

60.00

36.00

10.00

4

580.00

260.00

70.00

37.00

10.40

5

200.00

270.00

70.00

38.00

10.67

6

740.00

280.00

80.00

40.00

11.20

7

810.00

300.00

80.00

43.00

12.13

8

930.00

310.00

90.00

44.00

12.40

9

960.00

320.00

90.00

46.00

12.80

10

1020.00

340.00

90.00

48.00

13.60

11

1230.00

410.00

120.00

58.00

16.40

12

1410.00

470.00

130.00

67.00

18.80

13

1570.00

520.00

150.00

75.00

20.93

14

1760.00

590.00

170.00

84.00

23.47

15

1900.00

630.00

180.00

90.00

25.33

16

2030.00

680.00

190.00

96.00

27.07

17

2100.00

700.00

200.00

100.00

28.00

18

2170.00

723.30

206.20

103.10

94.00

19

2331.00

777.00

221.40

110.70

94.00

20

2504.00

834.67

237.90

118.90

94.00

21

2618.00

872.70

248.70

124.40

94.00

22

2865.00

955.00

272.10

136.10

94.00

23

3050.00

1017.00

289.80

144.90

94.00

24

3226.00

1075.00

306.50

153.20

94.00

25

3381.00

1127.00

321.20

160.60

94.00

26

3566.00

1188.70

338.80

169.40

94.00

27

3711.00

1237.00

352.50

176.30

94.00

28

3878.00

1293.00

368.40

184.20

94.00

29

4015.00

1338.00

381.40

190.70

94.00

30

4110.00

1370.00

390.45

195.20

221.99

31

4187.50

1396.00

397.80

198.90

221.99

32

4256.60

1419.00

404.40

202.20

221.99

33

4328.10

1442.70

411.20

205.60

221.99

34

4398.10

1466.00

417.80

208.90

221.99

35

4467.30

1489.10

424.40

212.20

221.99

36

4536.20

1512.00

430.90

215.50

221.99

37

4605.00

1535.00

437.50

218.70

221.99

38

4676.70

1558.90

444.29

222.10

221.99

39

4748.10

1582.70

451.07

225.50

221.99

40

4819.00

1606.33

457.81

228.90

286.50

41

4875.10

1625.00

463.13

231.60

286.50

42

4950.00

1651.00

470.25

235.10

286.50

43

4978.70

1659.60

472.98

236.50

286.50

44

5049.00

1683.00

479.66

239.80

286.50

45

5096.00

1699.00

484.12

242.10

286.50

46

5141.00

1714.00

488.40

244.20

286.50

47

5192.00

1731.00

493.24

246.60

286.50

48

5247.00

1749.00

498.47

249.20

286.50

49

5299.00

1766.00

503.41

251.70

286.50

50

5344.00

1781.33

507.68

253.80

363.80

51

5371.00

1790.30

510.25

255.10

363.80

52

5389.00

1796.33

511.96

256.00

363.80

53

5410.04

1803.35

513.95

257.20

363.80

54

5438.72

1812.90

516.68

258.30

363.80

55

5447.40

1815.80

517.50

258.80

363.80

56

5462.08

1820.69

518.90

259.40

363.80

57

5479.76

1826.60

520.60

260.30

363.80

58

5499.44

1833.15

522.40

261.20

363.80

59

5518.12

1839.37

524.22

262.10

363.80

60

5533.80

1844.60

525.71

262.90

363.80

61

5551.48

1850.49

527.39

263.70

363.80

62

5569.16

1856.39

529.07

264.50

363.80

63

5586.84

1862.28

530.75

265.40

363.80

64

5604.52

1868.17

532.43

266.20

363.80

65

5620.20

1873.40

533.92

267.00

363.80

66

5639.88

1879.96

535.80

267.90

363.80

67

5655.56

1885.00

537.30

268.60

363.80

68

5671.24

1890.00

538.80

269.40

363.80

69

5696.92

1898.97

541.20

270.60

363.80

70

5710.60

1903.50

542.50

271.30

363.80

Table S2. Possibility of vaccination for Hepatitis B virus in Chinese population, by age[1]

Age, years

Rate

18

0.9518

19

0.7210

20

0.6843

21

0.6516

22

0.6104

23

0.5587

24

0.5036

25

0.4517

26

0.4115

27

0.3723

28

0.3451

29

0.3117

30

0.2816

31

0.2690

32

0.2508

33

0.2372

34

0.2151

35

0.2006

36

0.1846

37

0.1674

38

0.1528

39

0.1363

40

0.1294

41

0.1187

42

0.1095

43

0.1012

44

0.0944

45

0.0871

46

0.0785

47

0.0672

48

0.0587

49

0.0502

50

0.0431

51

0.0395

52

0.0362

53

0.0331

54

0.0304

55

0.0281

56

0.0254

57

0.0228

58

0.0193

59

0.0174

60

0.0157

61

0.0150

62

0.0150

63

0.0150

64

0.0150

65

0.0150

66

0.0150

67

0.0150

68

0.0150

69

0.0150

70

0.0150

Table S3. Overview of annual transition rates for progression following screening and natural progression of HBV

Initial State

Transition State

Natural progression

Source

Unprotected

Acute hepatitis B

0.0083

[1]

CHB carrier

Inactive chronic infection

0.015 (0-0.05)

[2,3]

Inactive CHB

Delayed clearance

0.01 (0.005-0.02)

[4-6]

 

CHB

20-39 years 0.0023 ±50%

≥40 years 0.0054 ±50%

[2,3,7-9]

 

Compensated cirrhosis

0.029 (0.015-0.058)

[10]

 

HCC

20-39 years 0.002 ±50%

≥40 years 0.0061 ±50%

[3,7,9,11 12]

Compensated cirrhosis

Decompensated cirrhosis

0.073 (0.03-0.1)

[13-18]

 

HCC

0.034 (0.01-0.1)

[11,15,18-22]

 

HBV-related death

0.031 (0.031-0.038)

[11,23]

Decompensated cirrhosis

HCC

0.034 (0.01-0.1)

[11,15,18-22]

 

HBV-related death

0.17 (0.1-0.25)

[11,18,24-26]

HCC

HBV-related death

0.45 (0.22-0.7)

[15,19,26-27]

CHB = chronic hepatitis B; HBV = Hepatitis B virus; HCC = Hepatocellular carcinoma.

Table S4. Treatment-related annual transition estimates of Hepatitis B virus infection

Initial State

Transition State

Estimates

Source

CHB initial therapy

Sustained virologic response

0.39 (0.15-0.75)

[18]

 

Cirrhosis

0.002 (0.001-0.002)

[28]

 

HCC

0.002 (0.001-0.005)

[29]

CHB long-term therapy

Sustained virologic response

0.797 (0.17-0.96)

[30]

 

Cirrhosis

0.002 (0.001-0.002)

[28]

 

HCC

0.012 (0.01-0.014)

[31]

Cirrhosis therapy

Sustained virologic response

0.30 (0.24-0.875)

[32-33]

 

Decompensated cirrhosis

0.019 (0.009-0.046)

[28,32]

 

HCC

0.02 (0.016-0.044)

[31,34]

 

HBV-related death

0.017 (0.012-0.048)

[35-38]

Decompensated cirrhosis therapy

HCC

0.024 (0.006-0.081)

[29,34,39]

 

Liver transplantation

0.017 (0.001-0.042)

[28,40]

 

HBV-related death

0.095(0.056-0.14)

[35]

HCC therapy

Liver transplantation

0.006 (0.001-0.03)

[28,40]

 

HBV-related death

0.26 (0.25-0.27)

[41]

CHB = chronic hepatitis B; HCC = Hepatocellular carcinoma.

Table S5. Costs estimates of Hepatitis B virus infection

Items

US$ (2022)

Source

Screening cost (per item)

 

 

Hepatitis B surface antigen rapid test

2.76

-

Hepatitis B “five tests” HBsAg/HBsAb/HBeAg/HBeAb/HBcAb

13.78

-

Test cost (per item)

 

 

Liver function test

3.17

-

Hepatitis B virus DNA test

12.41

-

Hepatocellular carcinoma test

20.68

-

Vaccination for adults (per item)

4.55

[42]

Average annual direct medical and non-medical cost at various infection stages

 

 

Chronic hepatitis B

2662.76

[43]

Compensated cirrhosis

4178.04

 

Decompensated cirrhosis

4567.30

 

Hepatocellular carcinoma

7044.67

 

Liver transplantation

34445.41

[43-44]

Table S6. Other parameters used in the HBV model

Parameter

Base-case

Range

Source

Vaccine

 

 

 

Efficacy against HBV infection

97.9%

97.6%-98.2% in China study

90-95% in France study

[45-46]

Probability of symptom-based case-finding

 

 

 

Chronic HBV infection

0.12

 

[1]

Compensated cirrhosis

0.15

 

[1]

Decompensated cirrhosis

0.40

 

[1]

Hepatocellular carcinoma

0.60

 

[1]

HbsAg/HbsAb

 

 

 

Sensitivity 

0.932

0.851-0.985

[47]

Specificity 

0.931

0.851-0.999

[47]

HBsAg/HBsAb/HBeAg/HBeAb/HBcAb

 

 

 

Sensitivity 

0.955

0.889-0.994

[47]

Specificity 

0.998

0.993-1.000

[47]

HBV-related death rate

 

 

 

 

HBV-related Cirrhosis mortality rate

5.9 (/100,000) in 2016

 

[48]

HBV-related liver cancer mortality rate

17.76 (/100,000) in 2015

16.92-18.61

[49-52]

Liver transplant

 

 

 

Cases

4732 cases in 2017

 

[44]

Proportion of HBV-related diseases among LT

80%

 

[53]

Utility score

 

 

 

Viral suppression

1.00

0.95-1.00

[54]

Seroclearance

0.99

0.90-1.00

[54]

Inactive chronic HBV infection

0.79

0.74-0.84

[55]

Compensated cirrhosis

0.73

0.69-0.78

[55]

Decompensated cirrhosis

0.65

0.63-0.67

[55]

Hepatocellular carcinoma

0.38

0.36-0.41

[55]

Liver transplantation

0.67

0.64-0.69

[54]

HBV = Hepatitis B virus.

Table S7. The rate of Hepatitis C virus infection status in the Chinese population, stratified by age group (1/100,000)[56-57]

Age, yrs

CHC carrier

Chronic infection

Compensated cirrhosis

Decompensated cirrhosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma

20-24 years

1328.9724

0.7861

0.1100

0.1079

0.0236

25-29 years

1357.2610

2.0953

0.2931

0.2876

0.0630

30-34 years

1393.1480

5.2418

0.7332

0.7195

0.1580

35-39 years

1400.6070

14.8357

2.0751

2.0363

0.4460

40-44 years

1404.1448

35.0792

4.9065

4.8148

1.0500

45-49 years

1387.1278

55.7472

7.7973

7.6516

1.6800

50-54 years

1373.7813

96.5573

13.5054

13.2530

2.9000

55-59 years

1323.0674

158.3034

22.1418

21.7279

4.7600

60-64 years

1246.1583

232.43894

32.5111

31.9034

6.9884

65-70 years

1151.7330

319.9742

44.7546

43.9180

9.6200

CHC = chronic hepatitis C.

Table S8. Natural and treatment-related annual transition estimates of Hepatitis C virus infection

Initial State

Transition State

1-year transition probability

Source

 

 

Natural course

After treatment

 

Unprotected

Remain Unprotected

99.85%

-

[58-59]

 

CHC carrier

0.0105%

-

[58-59]

 

Chronic infection

0.0045%

-

[58-59]

CHC carrier

Remain CHC carrier

84.3%

-

[60]

 

Chronic infection

13.6%

-

[60]

 

Resolved infection

2.1%

-

 

Chronic infection

Remained Chronic infection

94.9%

6%

[60-61]

 

Resolved infection

0.5%

94%

[60-61]

 

Compensated cirrhosis

4.6%

0

[60-61]

Compensated cirrhosis

Remain Compensated cirrhosis

-

-

 

 

Resolved infection

0

8.6%

[62]

 

Decompensated cirrhosis

4.8%

0.2%

[63]

 

HCC

4.2%

0.5%

[60,63]

 

Death

0

0

[63]

Decompensated cirrhosis

Remain Decompensated cirrhosis

78.59%

97%

[61,63]

 

HCC

7.5%

1.05%

[61,63]

 

Liver transplantation

2.11%

0.3%

[61,63]

 

Death

11.8%

1.65%

[61,63]

HCC

Remain HCC

65.89%

95.5%

[61,63]

 

Liver transplantation

2.11%

0.28%

[61,63]

 

Death

32%

4.22%

[61,63]

CHC = chronic hepatitis C; HCC = Hepatocellular carcinoma.

Table S9. Costs estimates of Hepatitis C virus infection

Items

US$ (2022)

Source

Screening cost (per item)

 

 

Hepatitis C virus antibody test

2.76

-

Test cost (per item)

 

 

Hepatitis C virus RNA test

34

[64]

Genotyping test

84

[64]

Liver function test

3.17

-

Hepatocellular carcinoma test

20.68

-

Average annual cost at various infection stages

 

 

Chronic hepatitis C infection

1162

[65]

Compensated cirrhosis

3306

[65]

Decompensated cirrhosis

7364

[65]

Hepatocellular carcinoma

15543

[65]

Liver transplantation

62413

[66]

Post Liver transplantation

9921

[66]

Table S10. Other parameters used in the Hepatitis C virus model

Parameter

Base-case

Range

Source

Screening test

 

 

 

Sensitivity

0.973

0.955-0.984

[67]

Specificity

0.989

0.980-0.994

[67]

Utility score

 

 

 

Chronic hepatitis C carrier

0.93

0.90-0.96

[68]

Chronic hepatitis C infection

0.70

0.63-0.76

[68]

Compensated cirrhosis

0.55

0.48-0.65

[68]

Decompensated cirrhosis

0.45

0.48-0.61

[68]

Hepatocellular carcinoma

0.45

0.48-0.61

[68]

Liver transplantation

0.56

0.52-0.78

[69-70]

Post Liver transplantation

0.71

0.57-0.85

[69-70]

Table S11. The rate of syphilis infection status in the Chinese population, stratified by age group (1/100,000)[71-73]

Age, years

Primary syphilis

Secondary syphilis

Early latent syphilis

Late latent syphilis

Untreated tertiary syphilis

18

10.73

12.87

0.94

139.14

0.66

19

10.73

12.87

0.94

139.14

0.66

20

10.73

12.87

0.94

139.14

0.66

21

10.73

12.87

1.87

138.21

0.66

22

10.73

12.87

1.87

138.21

0.66

23

10.73

12.87

1.87

138.21

0.66

24

10.73

12.87

1.87

138.21

0.66

25

17.78

21.34

1.87

230.42

1.09

26

17.78

21.34

3.30

228.99

1.09

27

17.78

21.34

3.30

228.99

1.09

28

17.78

21.34

3.30

228.99

1.09

29

17.78

21.34

3.30

228.99

1.09

30

17.78

21.34

3.30

228.99

1.09

31

17.78

21.34

3.75

228.54

1.09

32

17.78

21.34

3.75

228.54

1.09

33

17.78

21.34

3.75

228.54

1.09

34

17.78

21.34

3.75

228.54

1.09

35

35.48

42.57

3.75

459.64

2.18

36

35.48

42.57

2.83

460.55

2.18

37

35.48

42.57

2.83

460.55

2.18

38

35.48

42.57

2.83

460.55

2.18

39

35.48

42.57

2.83

460.55

2.18

40

35.48

42.57

2.83

460.55

2.18

41

35.48

42.57

2.56

460.82

2.18

42

35.48

42.57

2.56

460.82

2.18

43

35.48

42.57

2.56

460.82

2.18

44

35.48

42.57

2.56

460.82

2.18

45

40.42

48.50

2.56

460.82

2.49

46

40.42

48.50

2.75

525.15

2.49

47

40.42

48.50

2.75

525.15

2.49

48

40.42

48.50

2.75

525.15

2.49

49

40.42

48.50

2.75

525.15

2.49

50

40.42

8.08

2.75

525.15

2.49

51

18.65

8.08

4.68

586.03

4.35

52

18.65

8.08

4.68

586.03

4.35

53

18.65

8.08

4.68

586.03

4.35

54

18.65

8.08

4.68

586.03

4.35

55

18.65

8.08

4.68

586.03

4.35

56

18.65

8.08

3.09

587.62

4.35

57

18.65

8.08

3.09

587.62

4.35

58

18.65

8.08

3.09

587.62

4.35

59

18.65

8.08

3.09

587.62

4.35

60

18.65

8.08

3.09

587.62

4.35

61

18.65

8.08

4.61

586.11

4.35

62

18.65

8.08

4.61

586.11

4.35

63

18.65

8.08

4.61

586.11

4.35

64

18.65

8.08

4.61

586.11

4.35

65

18.65

8.08

4.61

586.11

4.35

66

18.65

8.08

5.64

585.07

4.35

67

18.65

8.08

5.64

585.07

4.35

68

18.65

8.08

5.64

585.07

4.35

69

18.65

8.08

5.64

585.07

4.35

70

18.65

8.08

5.64

585.07

4.35

Table S12. Age-related incidence of syphilis (1/100,000)[73]

Age

Incidence

18

9.4241

19

9.4241

20

9.4241

21

18.7073

22

18.7073

23

18.7073

24

18.7073

25

18.7073

26

32.9777

27

32.9777

28

32.9777

29

32.9777

30

32.9777

31

37.4686

32

37.4686

33

37.4686

34

37.4686

35

37.4686

36

28.3134

37

28.3134

38

28.3134

39

28.3134

40

28.3134

41

25.608

42

25.608

43

25.608

44

25.608

45

25.608

46

27.5347

47

27.5347

48

27.5347

49

27.5347

50

27.5347

51

46.828

52

46.828

53

46.828

54

46.828

55

46.828

56

56.4094

57

56.4094

58

56.4094

59

56.4094

60

56.4094

61

62.9857

62

62.9857

63

62.9857

64

62.9857

65

62.9857

66

62.9295

67

62.9295

68

62.9295

69

62.9295

70

62.9295

Table S13. Natural and treatment-related annual transition estimates of syphilis infection

Initial State

Transition State

1-year transition probability

Source

 

 

No treatment

After treatment

 

Primary syphilis

Remain

0

0

[74-77]

 

Secondary syphilis

40%

9.4%

[74-77]

 

Treated with no sequelae

-

90%

[74-77]

 

Early neurosyphilis

60%

0.6%

[74-77]

Secondary syphilis

Remain

0

0

[74-77]

 

Early latent syphilis

40%

9.4%

[74-77]

 

Treated with no sequelae

-

90%

[74-77]

 

Early neurosyphilis

60%

0.6%

[74-77]

Early latent syphilis

Remain

0

0

[74-77]

 

Late latent syphilis

40%

9.4%

[74-77]

 

Treated with no sequelae

-

90%

[74-77]

 

Early neurosyphilis

60%

0.6%

[74-77]

Late latent syphilis

Remain

75%

-

[74,76-79]

 

Tertiary syphilis

24.4%

-

[74,76-79]

 

Late neurosyphilis

0.6%

-

[74,76-79]

Early neurosyphilis

Remain

98.56%

8.56%

[75,78-80]

 

Tertiary syphilis

1.44%

1.44%

[75,78-80]

 

Treated with no sequelae

-

90%

[75,78-80]

*Neuro involvement can coexist with other infection status; thus, the total rate may exceed 100%.

Table S14. Costs estimates of Syphilis infection[81]

Items

US$ (2022)

Screening cost

 

Syphilis screening

8.27

Syphilis confirmation test

20.68

Average annual cost at various infection stages

 

Early syphilis (including primary, secondary, early latent)

736.87

Late syphilis

1117.82

Table S15. Other parameters used in the syphilis model

Parameter

Base-case

Range

Source

 

Screening test sensitivity

 

 

 

 

Primary syphilis

0.93

0.77-1

[78]

 

Secondary syphilis

1

0.95-1

[78]

 

Early latent syphilis

1

0.95-1

[78]

 

Late latent syphilis

0.99

0.94-1

[78]

 

Percentage of having symptoms

 

 

 

 

Primary syphilis

1.7%

 

[82]

 

Secondary syphilis

1.7%

 

[82]

 

Early latent syphilis

1.7%

 

[82]

 

Late latent syphilis

0

 

[74]

 

Tertiary syphilis

30%

 

[76]

 

Early neurosyphilis

70%

 

[74]

 

Late neurosyphilis

5%

 

[74]

 

Possibility of seeking treatment

 

 

 

 

Primary syphilis

35%

 

[78,82]

 

Secondary syphilis

60%

 

[78]

 

Early latent syphilis

100%

 

 

 

Late latent syphilis

0

 

[74]

 

Tertiary syphilis

19%

 

[75]

 

Early neurosyphilis

60%

 

[74]

 

Late neurosyphilis

19%

 

[75]

 

Possibility of successful treatment

 

 

 

 

Primary syphilis

90%

 

[77]

 

Secondary syphilis

90%

 

[77]

 

Early latent syphilis

90%

 

[77]

 

Late latent syphilis

0

 

[74]

 

Tertiary syphilis

77%

 

[80]

 

Early neurosyphilis

90%

 

[77]

 

Late neurosyphilis

77%

 

[80]

 

Utility score

 

 

 

 

Primary syphilis

0.994

0.99-0.996

[75]

 

Secondary syphilis

0.96

0.94-0.98

[75]

 

Early latent syphilis

1

-

[75]

 

Late latent syphilis

1

-

[75]

 

Tertiary syphilis

0.76

0.67-0.75

[75]

 

Early neurosyphilis

0.95

0.92-0.97

[75]

 

Late neurosyphilis

0.80

0.71-0.88

[75]

 

Table S16. The proportion of HIV infection status in the Chinese population, stratified by age group (1/100,000)[83-84]

Age, years

HIV+

CD4≥500

HIV+

350≤CD4<500

HIV+

200≤CD4<350

HIV+

CD4<200

18-24

7.80

18.00

19.98

14.22

25-29

7.80

13.20

22.38

16.62

30-34

27.08

61.60

86.80

104.44

35-39

12.12

47.60

98.84

121.24

40-44

8.70

43.50

97.73

140.07

45-49

14.50

48.43

87.00

111.07

50-59

9.32

38.68

138.80

213.20

60-69

12.35

51.25

183.91

282.49

≥70

7.22

29.98

107.57

165.23

HIV = human immunodeficiency virus.

Table S17. Age-related incidence of human immunodeficiency virus infection (1/100,000)[73]

Age, years

Incidence

18-19

4.6312

20-24

10.3240

25-29

17.9733

30-34

20.2556

35-39

15.1946

40-44

13.8324

45-49

13.1898

50-54

20.8168

55-59

12.8898

60-64

18.8789

65-69

18.8143

70-74

15.3597

75-79

11.7542

80-84

8.3400

≥85

5.6229

Table S18. Natural and treatment-related annual transition estimates of human immunodeficiency virus infection[85-86]

Initial State

Transition State

1-year transition probability

 

 

Natural course

After treatment

CD4<200

Remain CD4<200

 

-

 

200≤CD4<350

0.20

0.37

 

350≤CD4<500

0.07

0.17

 

CD4≥500

0.03

0.04

200≤CD4<350

Remain 200≤CD4<350

-

-

 

CD4<200

0.13

0.09

 

350≤CD4<500

0.24

0.34

 

CD4≥500

0.13

0.14

350≤CD4<500

Remain 350≤CD4<500

-

-

 

CD4<200

0.03

0.02

 

200≤CD4<350

0.20

0.17

 

CD4≥500

0.32

0.36

CD4≥500

Remain CD4≥500

-

-

 

CD4<200

0.01

0.01

 

200≤CD4<350

0.05

0.03

 

350≤CD4<500

0.18

0.16

Table S19. Costs estimates of HIV screening and treatment[87]

Variables

Base value (2022 $)

Test costs per person screened

25.4

Additional screening-related costs if positive

44

Confirmatory Western blot test

86.0

CD4 count test

49.3

Viral load test

308.4

Annual treatment costs

 

Cost of ART

545.2

Non-ART medical costs

 

CD4≥500

3005.9

350≤CD4<500

3005.9

200≤CD4<350

7391.6

  CD4<200

9661.4

ART = antiretroviral therapy; HIV = human immunodeficiency virus.

Table S20. Other parameters used in the HIV model

Parameter

Base-case

Range

Source

Screening test

 

 

[88]

Sensitivity

0.9521

0.9078-0.9791%

 

Specificity

0.9995

0.9983-0.9999

 

Probability of symptom-based case-finding

[89 90]

CD4≥500

0.050

0.034-0.085

 

350≤CD4<500

0.073

0.058-0.112

 

200≤CD4<350

0.154

0.146-0.451

 

CD4<200

0.872

0.216-1.000

 

The rate of failed virological suppression/ treat discontinuation

[87]

CD4≥500

0.00361

-

 

350≤CD4<500

0.00320

-

 

200≤CD4<350

0.00392

-

 

CD4<200

0.00431

-

 

Utility values

 

 

[91]

CD4≥500

0.94

0.92-1.00

 

350≤CD4<500

0.89

0.80-1.00

 

200≤CD4<350

0.83

0.45-1.00

 

CD4<200

0.73

0.24-0.80

 

Table S21. Age-related death rate (1/100,000)

Age/years

Background death[92]

Syphilis related death[75]

HIV-related death with treatment[93]

HIV-related death without treatment[93]

18

41

70

996

5929

19

43

70

1044

6218

20

47

70

1142

6796

21

47

70

1142

6796

22

50

70

1214

7230

23

54

70

1312

7809

24

56

84

1360

8098

25

58

84

1409

8387

26

57

84

1384

8243

27

59

84

1433

8532

28

61

84

1482

8821

29

68

84

1652

9833

30

70

172

1700

10122

31

77

172

1870

11135

32

81

172

1967

11713

33

83

172

2016

12002

34

94

172

2283

13593

35

103

355.2

1219

7256

36

106

355.2

1254

7468

37

114

355.2

1349

8031

38

121

355.2

1432

8524

39

134

355.2

1586

9440

40

151

646.2

1787

10638

41

155

646.2

1834

10920

42

182

646.2

2154

12822

43

189

646.2

2237

13315

44

207

646.2

2450

14583

45

231

928.2

2734

16274

46

236

928.2

2793

16626

47

254

928.2

3006

17894

48

310

928.2

3668

21839

49

328

928.2

3881

23108

50

364

1667.4

1792

10666

51

375

1667.4

1846

10989

52

398

1667.4

1959

11663

53

441

1667.4

2171

12923

54

498

1667.4

2451

14593

55

518

1264.8

2550

15179

56

564

1264.8

2776

16527

57

609

1264.8

2998

17846

58

681

1264.8

3352

19956

59

767

1264.8

3775

22476

60

854

1102.1

4203

25025

61

938

1102.1

4617

27487

62

1038

1102.1

5109

30417

63

1112

1102.1

5473

32585

64

1301

1102.1

6404

38124

65

1421

5263.2

3316

19740

66

1474

5263.2

3439

20477

67

1723

5263.2

4020

23936

68

1864

5263.2

4349

25894

69

2191

5263.2

5112

30437

70

2557

3794.4

5966

35521

71

2673

3794.4

6237

37133

72

3094

3794.4

7220

42981

73

3359

3794.4

7838

46663

74

3744

3794.4

8736

52011

75

4151

6138

9686

57665

76

4219

6138

9845

58610

77

5097

6138

11893

70807

78

5620

6138

13114

78072

79

6212

6138

14495

86296

80

7428

6138

17332

100000

81

7791

6138

18179

100000

82

8581

6138

20023

100000

83

9352

6138

21822

100000

84

10363

6138

24181

100000

85

11100

6138

25901

100000

86

11888

6138

27739

100000

87

13007

6138

30350

100000

88

14418

6138

33643

100000

89

15687

6138

36604

100000

90

17652

6138

41189

100000

91

18524

6138

43224

100000

92

20211

6138

47160

100000

93

20735

6138

48383

100000

94

20891

6138

48747

100000

95

22001

6138

51337

100000

96

22099

6138

51566

100000

97

20484

6138

47797

100000

98

19813

6138

46232

100000

99

25765

6138

60120

100000

100

45435

6138

100000

100000

HIV = human immunodeficiency virus.

Literature search strategy (Pubmed)

1.    (((((((((hepatitis B[MeSH Terms]) OR (hepatitis C[MeSH Terms])) OR (HBV[MeSH Terms])) OR (HCV[MeSH Terms])) OR (HIV[MeSH Terms])) OR (human immunodeficiency virus[MeSH Terms])) OR (Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome[MeSH Terms])) OR (AIDS[MeSH Terms])) OR (syphilis[MeSH Terms])) OR (Treponema pallidum[MeSH Terms]) 

2.    (((((((((((hepatitis B) OR (HBV)) OR (CHB)) OR (hepatitis C)) OR (HCV)) OR (CHC)) OR (AIDS)) OR (human immunodeficiency virus)) OR (acquired immune deficiency syndrome)) OR (HIV)) OR (syphilis)) OR (treponema pallidum)

3.    1 OR 2

4.    ((((((((((cost-effectiveness) OR (cost-effective)) OR (cost-benefit)) OR (cost-utility)) OR (economic modelling)) OR (ICER)) OR (ICUR)) OR (Markov model)) OR (economic evaluation)) OR (economic analysis)) OR (QALY)

5.    (((screening) OR (screen)) OR (detection)) OR (diagnosis)

6.    ((((pre-surgical) OR (preoperative)) OR (surgery)) OR (operation)) OR (surgical)

7.    3 AND 4 AND 5 AND 6